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EURUSD4-hourBearish

EUR/USD 4H: sell the pullback into the broken 1.1120–1.1135 range floor

FXFibo editorial · · 1 min read
Summary

On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD has broken the floor of its one-month 1.1120–1.1260 range. The main scenario is a brief pullback into the broken floor (1.1120–1.1135), followed by a further decline towards 1.1050 and 1.0990.

BiasBearishEntry zone1.1120 – 1.1135Stop loss1.1175Target 11.1050Target 21.0990StatusActive
Invalidation: 4H close above 1.1175
EUR/USD 4H: sell the pullback into the broken 1.1120–1.1135 range floor

Main scenario

The range floor, which held several times, has now broken and should act as resistance on a pullback. Sell in the 1.1120–1.1135 zone with a stop above 1.1175. Target 1 is 1.1050 and target 2 is 1.0990.

Alternative scenario

If price moves back inside the range and holds above 1.1175, the break was false and price may return to the 1.1250–1.1260 range top.

Key levels

Resistance: 1.1120–1.1135 — 1.1175 — 1.1250–1.1260 Support: 1.1065 — 1.1050 — 1.0990

Market-moving events

US inflation data, Fed speakers

EUR/USD traded between 1.1120 and 1.1260 for about a month. The last test of the range top met heavy selling, and price broke the range floor with strong bearish candles. After such a break, price usually returns to test the broken level. If the pullback comes with weak candles, it is a good opportunity to sell again.

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⚠ This analysis is educational and is not a buy or sell recommendation. Trading financial markets carries the risk of losing capital.