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UBS 2027 outlook: S&P 500 at 8,900 and STOXX 600 at 750

UBS Global Research targets 8,900 for the S&P 500 and 750 for the STOXX 600 by end-2027 and sees global growth rising to 3.5%, growth that hinges on AI and calm in the Middle East.

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UBS 2027 outlook: S&P 500 at 8,900 and STOXX 600 at 750
Contents
  1. UBS end-2027 targets
  2. Two fragile pillars of growth
  3. Market impact

UBS end-2027 targets

In its 2027 outlook, UBS Global Research takes an optimistic view of equities:

Index / variable End-2027 forecast
S&P 500 (US) 8,900
STOXX 600 (Europe) 750
Global growth 3.5%

For comparison, the S&P 500 closed last week near 7,377, so the UBS target implies roughly 21% upside.

Two fragile pillars of growth

UBS says an unusually large share of 2027 growth depends on two factors:

  1. Continued build-out of AI infrastructure (data centers, chips and power)
  2. Resolution of the conflicts in the Middle East

If AI investment slows or regional tensions escalate, growth forecasts and index targets could be revised. The view comes after doubts about AI returns triggered a heavy tech sell-off last week.

Market impact

  • Optimism from major banks may help steady equity indices.
  • Stronger global growth usually supports risk-sensitive currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars.
  • Middle East risk remains a key driver for oil and gold.

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This is news, not investment advice.


Source: UBS Global Research 2027 outlook

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