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Japan spent ¥15.4 trillion to prop up the yen, its biggest monthly intervention on record

Japan said it spent ¥15.4 trillion (about $97 billion) over three days in the summer to support the yen, its largest monthly intervention on record. Even so, the yen has weakened again and USD/JPY is back around 158.30.

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Japan spent ¥15.4 trillion to prop up the yen, its biggest monthly intervention on record
Contents
  1. Summary
  2. Intervention details
  3. Market reaction
  4. Tokyo's new tactics
  5. Possible market impact

Summary

Japan said it spent a total of ¥15.4 trillion (about $97 billion) over three days in the summer to support the yen, its largest monthly intervention on record.

Intervention details

Date Yen bought
30 July ¥7.98 trillion
31 July ¥5.55 trillion
Third day ¥1.87 trillion

The 31 July intervention was the first coordinated Japan–US action to support the yen since 1998.

Market reaction

The moves initially strengthened the yen, and USD/JPY fell to 152.89 in early September. But the yen weakened again, and the pair traded around 158.30 on Monday.

Tokyo's new tactics

  • Surprising the market: Japan has used new tactics, such as intervening ahead of Bank of Japan policy decisions.
  • Dollar funding: Japan can use the Federal Reserve's FIMA Repo facility, so it does not necessarily need to sell US Treasuries outright to fund future interventions.
  • Warning speculators: Japanese and US officials say they are ready to intervene again if disorderly moves and yen weakness continue.

Possible market impact

  • USD/JPY: The interest-rate gap between Japan and the US remains the main driver of yen selling, but moves towards 160 and above raise the risk of a sudden intervention and a sharp drop in the pair.
  • US dollar: Coordinated intervention can temporarily weaken the dollar index. EUR/USD daily analysis
  • Yen crosses: GBP/JPY and other yen crosses can swing sharply during interventions; risk management is essential.

Source: Japan's Ministry of Finance; price data: Bloomberg.

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